Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 15.826175 17.968274 20.397196 23.376968 26.963798 31.180467 36.569847
2025-07-27 12.710325 15.302993 18.489033 22.761900 28.452431 35.935981 46.815059
2025-08-03 11.422839 14.324642 18.099184 23.503395 31.279138 42.466415 60.606748
2025-08-10 10.158713 13.118901 17.132677 23.168616 32.389401 46.649855 72.004245
2025-08-17 9.189608 12.154947 16.315732 22.836895 33.327930 50.631998 84.145450
2025-08-24 8.455572 11.419266 15.704531 22.673650 34.428270 55.026501 98.400246
2025-08-31 7.743453 10.633845 14.915977 22.094931 34.693404 57.950613 110.718265
2025-09-07 7.220381 10.074032 14.401067 21.872088 35.506045 62.033390 127.104878
2025-09-14 6.600834 9.313524 13.495352 20.870369 34.719463 62.743456 135.743855
2025-09-21 6.043943 8.607733 12.614972 19.809577 33.653560 62.636905 142.285453
2025-09-28 5.648044 8.125879 12.057561 19.256818 33.491261 64.462086 155.030693
2025-10-05 5.801623 8.525840 12.987918 21.509469 39.386072 81.786552 225.270261
2025-10-12 5.645480 8.421990 13.073995 22.233887 42.313863 93.206452 287.227745
2025-10-19 5.296655 7.973556 12.520762 21.643707 42.198710 96.549087 320.922871
2025-10-26 5.168597 7.887468 12.602892 22.338032 45.225435 109.956254 415.105932
2025-11-02 4.912940 7.563554 12.222999 22.024998 45.732471 115.940120 480.080991
2025-11-09 4.679956 7.264118 11.864375 21.714803 46.193138 122.006143 555.331221
2025-11-16 4.485863 7.021102 11.592746 21.562113 47.045091 129.824321 657.041885
2025-11-23 4.260528 6.709306 11.167102 21.020620 46.746182 133.413990 735.181183
2025-11-30 4.090494 6.487773 10.900638 20.812030 47.350732 140.805047 864.863475
2025-12-07 3.850972 6.127978 10.340985 19.873812 45.701778 138.581031 897.999226
2025-12-14 3.620275 5.774747 9.776037 18.879225 43.758946 134.636210 908.739337
2025-12-21 3.455079 5.535142 9.424485 18.360527 43.173445 136.443208 994.668850